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FXUS62 KTBW 210019
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
819 PM EDT Mon Aug 20 2018
Ample moisture combined with the sea breeze and outflow
boundary interactions supported scattered showers and storms
across the forecast area during the afternoon hours. Early
this evening 88D returns show a band of showers and storms
from the Tampa Bay waters northeast through Hillsborough,
Pasco, Polk, and Sumter counties with some light lingering
stratiform rain noted further to the south.
As the evening continues expect ongoing convection to
slowly wane as boundary interactions weaken and loss of
daytime heating continues, with any lingering light rain
ending between 9 and 11 PM with the convective debris
cloudiness thinning with skies becoming partly cloudy
overnight. Similar to the last few nights will update the
zones to remove evening rain chances once most of the
convection ends, otherwise no other changes are required at
Lingering evening shra/tsra may bring brief MVFR cigs/vsbys
to KLAL, KTPA, KPIE, and KPGD terminals until 02Z,
otherwise VFR is expected at all terminals the rest of the
tonight through mid day on Tuesday. After 18Z on Tuesday
additional MVFR/IFR cigs/vsbys may impact the terminals as
shra/tsra redevelop over the area and have handled with
VCTS, otherwise VFR will continue.
Onshore sea breeze component along the coast will collapse
in the next few hour with continued loss of daytime
heating with a light southeast to southerly wind flow and
slight seas expected the rest of tonight into Tuesday with
an onshore sea breeze component again developing along the
coast Tuesday afternoon as high pressure remains in control.
Ongoing forecast is in good shape with no changes expected
in the evening update around 9 PM.
FL...Beach Hazards Statement through Thursday evening for
Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee-Coastal
Covering Levy, Citrus, Sumter, Hernando, Pasco, Pinellas, Hillsborough, Polk,
Manatee, Hardee, Highlands, Desoto, Sarasota, Charlotte and Lee Counties...
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