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FXUS62 KTBW 280527
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
127 AM EDT Wed Jun 28 2017
VFR conditions will continue through the night. Winds will
remain out of the east-southeast less than 5 knots overnight
with a sea breeze setting up during the afternoon producing
an onshore flow. Very similiar to yesterday, VCTS will be
possible after 18Z at all terminals. No other aviation
.Prev Discussion... /issued 850 PM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017/
Widespread showers and thunderstorms continue this evening
over interior sections of the Florida peninsula, especially
Polk and Hardee counties. This activity is expected to
gradually build south southeastward over the next few hours,
affecting parts of DeSoto and Highlands counties through
midnight. Elsewhere, more spotty activity is expected as
outflow boundaries from earlier storms continue to propagate
westward, initiating additional showers and storms. Storms
should eventually dissipate by or shortly after midnight
with the loss of daytime heating and increasing stability
across the region. The remainder of the night will feature
light and variable winds and mild overnight low
The existing forecast was largely on track with only a few
minor tweaks to the PoP grids to reflect recent trends.
Hourly winds were also updated to bring in the most recent
observations and model data.
AVIATION (00z TAFs)...
Scattered showers and storms continue this evening mainly
across interior sections of the Florida peninsula. This
activity will likely linger into the night and eventually
dissipate by midnight. At this time, most terminals look to
remain west of ongoing storm activity. Aside from remnant
storms, winds will eventually shift to the least, becoming
light and variable overnight. Some patchy fog is not out of
the question toward sunrise Wednesday, but confidence is too
low to warrant mention in the forecast at this time.
High pressure will remain fixed over the waters into the
weekend with light winds and favorable boating conditions.
Isolated marine thunderstorms will be possible each day from
the late afternoon through overnight and early morning
hours. These storms may produce locally gusty winds and
increased seas, but otherwise, no widespread marine impacts
.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA 91 77 91 77 / 50 30 50 20
FMY 92 75 92 76 / 40 30 60 40
GIF 92 74 93 75 / 60 20 70 20
SRQ 90 76 90 77 / 40 20 40 30
BKV 91 74 92 74 / 60 30 60 20
SPG 91 77 91 78 / 40 20 40 20
Covering Levy, Citrus, Sumter, Hernando, Pasco, Pinellas, Hillsborough, Polk,
Manatee, Hardee, Highlands, Desoto, Sarasota, Charlotte and Lee Counties...
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